Nashville SCvs
Leon
COMPLETEDWorld · Leagues Cup · 8/6/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nashville SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Leon are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and leon hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Leagues Cup, favouring a draw with 13.0% confidence, a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
27.5%
Model confidence
13.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20