GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/26/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nashville SC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Nashville SC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Charlotte are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nashville SC hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (72.7 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Nashville SC holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nashville SC

Probability

69.4%

Model confidence

69.4%

Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nashville SCWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CharlotteLWLWW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Nashville SCCharlotte
68.4Attack53.7
73.7Defence50.0
75.4Form46.3
72.7Power50.6
2.37xG0.77
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