Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nasaf are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Navbahor are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Navbahor hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (56.6 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60