GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Narva U21 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tallinna Kalev II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Narva U21 hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.2% in the Esiliiga B, while Narva U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Narva U21

Probability

75.2%

Model confidence

75.2%

Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Narva U21WLWWW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Tallinna Kalev IIWLLWL

GF 14 · GA 16 · avg 2.80/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Narva U21Tallinna Kalev II
86.4Attack68.2
54.5Defence13.6
66.7Form25.8
66.7Power36.1
4.50xG1.66
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