GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 4/4/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Narva U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tallinna Kalev II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Narva U21 hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.2% in the Esiliiga B, while Narva U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Narva U21

Probability

75.2%

Model confidence

75.2%

Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Narva U21LWLWW

GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Tallinna Kalev IILLWLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Narva U21Tallinna Kalev II
86.4Attack68.2
54.5Defence13.6
66.7Form25.8
66.7Power36.1
4.50xG1.66
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