GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 7/19/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Narva U21 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Narva U21 hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the Esiliiga B, while Narva U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Narva U21

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Narva U21LWWWW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21LWWDW

GF 20 · GA 11 · avg 4.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Narva U21Parnu JK Vaprus U21
86.4Attack88.4
54.5Defence24.6
66.7Form47.8
66.7Power52.1
4.50xG2.25
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