GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 8/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Narva U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Lowconfidence

Narva U21 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Johvi Phoenix are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Narva U21 hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (66.1 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Esiliiga B, while Narva U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Narva U21

Probability

70.2%

Model confidence

7.4%

Narva U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Narva U21WWWLW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Johvi PhoenixLWDWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Narva U21Johvi Phoenix
88.9Attack75.8
52.4Defence22.7
65.1Form53.0
66.1Power51.8
4.50xG2.04
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