GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 4/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nart Cherkessk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Nart Cherkessk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lugansk are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nart Cherkessk hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.2% in the Second League - Group 1, while Nart Cherkessk holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nart Cherkessk

Probability

58.2%

Model confidence

58.2%

Nart Cherkessk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nart CherkesskWWLLD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LuganskDLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
Nart CherkesskLugansk
44.4Attack33.3
72.2Defence50.0
51.9Form35.2
56.8Power41.8
1.49xG0.48
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