Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Nardo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Melhus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Melhus hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 68.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Melhus holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Melhus
Probability
74.4%
Model confidence
8.2%
Melhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40