GGOALVIO

Japan · J3 League · 8/16/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kagoshima United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Nara Club are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kagoshima United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kagoshima United hold a 42.1-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the J3 League, while Kagoshima United holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kagoshima United

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

13.4%

Kagoshima United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nara ClubLLWLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Kagoshima UnitedWLLDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Nara ClubKagoshima United
33.3Attack50.9
0.0Defence64.0
0.0Form54.4
15.3Power57.5
0.91xG1.53
View match centre →