GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Naprzód · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Naprzód are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Korona Kielce II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Naprzód hold a 29.4-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 29.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Naprzód holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Naprzód

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Naprzód has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NaprzódWWDLL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Korona Kielce IIDLWWL

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
NaprzódKorona Kielce II
77.8Attack77.8
22.2Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
58.8Power29.4
2.59xG1.76
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