GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 8/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Napredak · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Napredak are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Metalac GM are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Napredak hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.4% in the Prva Liga, while Napredak holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Napredak

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

21.4%

Napredak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NapredakWWLLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Metalac GMLDWLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
NapredakMetalac GM
33.3Attack27.8
100.0Defence64.8
100.0Form38.9
80.3Power46.2
1.04xG0.55
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