Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Napredak · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Napredak are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dubočica are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Napredak hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (71.1 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Napredak holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Napredak
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Napredak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00