Naplesvs
Greenville Triumph
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 4/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Naples · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Naples are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.5 against 40.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the USL League One, while Naples holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Naples
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Naples has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60