Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avaí U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Nação U20 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Avaí U20 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Avaí U20 hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.7% in the Catarinense U20, while Avaí U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avaí U20
Probability
71.7%
Model confidence
71.7%
Avaí U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20