GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nantwich Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nantwich Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Chester are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chester hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nantwich Town holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nantwich Town

Probability

35.7%

Model confidence

35.7%

Nantwich Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nantwich TownLWLWL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ChesterWLWLW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Nantwich TownChester
11.1Attack50.0
66.7Defence44.4
11.1Form50.0
32.9Power49.5
1.56xG1.45
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