GGOALVIO

China · League One · 8/1/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nantong Zhiyun · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Nantong Zhiyun are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nantong Zhiyun hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.1% in the League One, while Nantong Zhiyun holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nantong Zhiyun

Probability

60.1%

Model confidence

60.1%

Nantong Zhiyun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nantong ZhiyunDWDLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Heilongjiang Lava SpringDLDLD

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Nantong ZhiyunHeilongjiang Lava Spring
41.2Attack51.9
74.5Defence35.2
60.8Form38.9
60.6Power44.6
1.80xG0.69
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