Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nantes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Nantes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Al Wakrah are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nantes hold a 44.7-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 14.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nantes holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nantes
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Nantes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80