Nanjing Cityvs
Suzhou Dongwu
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 5/3/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nanjing City are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Suzhou Dongwu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Nanjing City hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the League One, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80