GGOALVIO

China · League One · 8/8/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nanjing City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nantong Zhiyun are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and nantong Zhiyun hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the League One, favouring a draw with 26.7% confidence, a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

26.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nanjing CityDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nantong ZhiyunWDWDL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Nanjing CityNantong Zhiyun
31.5Attack41.2
63.0Defence74.5
37.0Form60.8
46.1Power60.6
0.49xG0.87
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