Nanjing Cityvs
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
SCHEDULEDChina · League One · 8/16/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nanjing City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nanjing City are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.1 against 44.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the League One, while Nanjing City holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nanjing City
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
14.3%
Nanjing City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80