Nanjing CityvsDongguan United

Nanjing City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dongguan United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nanjing City hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the League One, while Nanjing City holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.