Nanjing Cityvs
Changchun Yatai
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 3/15/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nanjing City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nanjing City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Changchun Yatai are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.1 against 45.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the League One, while Nanjing City holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nanjing City
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Nanjing City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20