Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Namyangju · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Namyangju are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Haman are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Namyangju hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 39.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.2% in the K4 League, while Namyangju holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Namyangju
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Namyangju has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40