Nagoya Grampusvs
Machida Zelvia
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 5/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nagoya Grampus are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Machida Zelvia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 69.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Machida Zelvia
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20