GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Machida Zelvia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nagoya Grampus are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Machida Zelvia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Machida Zelvia hold a 69.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the J1 League, while Machida Zelvia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Machida Zelvia

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Machida Zelvia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nagoya GrampusLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Machida ZelviaWDDWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
16.7Attack100.0
50.0Defence83.3
0.0Form100.0
26.7Power95.8
1.04xG1.67
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