GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/6/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gamba Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nagoya Grampus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gamba Osaka are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gamba Osaka hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the J1 League, while Gamba Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gamba Osaka

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Gamba Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nagoya GrampusWDWDL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Gamba OsakaWDDLD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
16.7Attack83.3
50.0Defence33.3
0.0Form66.7
26.7Power64.8
1.29xG1.60
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