GGOALVIO

Nagoya Grampus logoNagoya GrampusvsCerezo Osaka logoCerezo Osaka

COMPLETED

Japan · J1 League · 4/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nagoya Grampus · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nagoya Grampus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cerezo Osaka are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerezo Osaka hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the J1 League, while Nagoya Grampus holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nagoya Grampus

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Nagoya Grampus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nagoya GrampusDWLWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Cerezo OsakaDLWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nagoya GrampusCerezo Osaka
16.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence33.3
0.0Form50.0
26.7Power42.7
1.35xG1.27
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