GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 3/22/2026, 1:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Naftan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Dnepr Mogilev are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dnepr Mogilev hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (30.5 v 35.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.7%

Model confidence

34.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NaftanDLWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC Dnepr MogilevWLLDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NaftanFC Dnepr Mogilev
33.3Attack29.4
29.2Defence45.1
20.8Form23.5
30.5Power35.3
1.16xG1.15
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