Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ishøj · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Naestved are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ishøj are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ishøj hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (32.2 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ishøj holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ishøj
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Ishøj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20