Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Naestved · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Naestved are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while HIK are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Naestved hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the 2. Division, while Naestved holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Naestved
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Naestved has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80