Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HB Koge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Naestved are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while HB Koge are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and HB Koge hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (32.2 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while HB Koge holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HB Koge
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
HB Koge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60