Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HB Koge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Naestved are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while HB Koge are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and HB Koge hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (32.2 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while HB Koge holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HB Koge
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
HB Koge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40