Nacional AMvs
Manaus FC
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional AM · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Nacional AM are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Manaus FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional AM hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Serie D, while Nacional AM holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nacional AM
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Nacional AM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60