Nacional AMvs
Manauara
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nacional AM are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Manauara are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Manauara hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80