Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NAC Breda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
NAC Breda are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while OFI are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and OFI hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while NAC Breda holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
NAC Breda
Probability
35.0%
Model confidence
35.0%
NAC Breda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60