Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
MyPa are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while HPS are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and HPS hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (30.7 v 55.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.1% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while HPS holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HPS
Probability
70.1%
Model confidence
70.1%
HPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80