GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mushuc Runa SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Mushuc Runa SC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Manta FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mushuc Runa SC hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 35.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Liga Pro, while Mushuc Runa SC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mushuc Runa SC

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Mushuc Runa SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mushuc Runa SCDWLDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Manta FCLLLWD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Mushuc Runa SCManta FC
42.7Attack15.3
54.7Defence58.3
42.7Form23.6
48.4Power35.4
1.19xG0.60
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