GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 7/11/2026, 7:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Mushuc Runa SC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 78.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

62.5%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mushuc Runa SCWLDDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente del ValleWWWWL

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
42.7Attack81.3
54.7Defence68.0
42.7Form85.3
48.4Power78.3
0.80xG2.04
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