GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 8/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Mushuc Runa SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Barcelona SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Barcelona SC hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 53.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.8% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

19.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mushuc Runa SCWWLDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Barcelona SCLWDLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mushuc Runa SCBarcelona SC
44.4Attack34.7
52.8Defence72.2
43.1Form48.6
48.5Power53.9
0.78xG0.91
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