Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Musa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Ilves II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves II hold a 41.1-point power-rating edge (20.9 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.9% in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, while Ilves II holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves II
Probability
82.9%
Model confidence
82.9%
Ilves II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 19 · avg 0.40/3.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80