Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Murom · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Murom are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Irkutsk are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Murom hold a 37.8-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 30.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.8% in the Second League - Group 2, while Murom holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Murom
Probability
83.8%
Model confidence
83.8%
Murom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40