GGOALVIO

Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 5/16/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Muras United · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Muras United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Neftchi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Muras United hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (70.5 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.5% in the Premier League, while Muras United holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Muras United

Probability

76.5%

Model confidence

76.5%

Muras United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Muras UnitedDWWLW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
NeftchiWWLLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Muras UnitedNeftchi
68.5Attack43.9
70.4Defence43.9
72.2Form40.4
70.5Power44.0
2.68xG0.66
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