Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mura · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mura are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FC Noah are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mura hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Mura holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mura
Probability
35.2%
Model confidence
35.2%
Mura has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00