GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Municipal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Municipal are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while CS Cartagines are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while Municipal holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Municipal

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Municipal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MunicipalWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CS CartaginesWDLWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MunicipalCS Cartagines
33.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence66.7
66.7Form33.3
64.8Power48.3
1.43xG1.05
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