GGOALVIO

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Municipal · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Municipal are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cobán Imperial are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Liga Nacional, while Municipal holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Municipal

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

Municipal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MunicipalWDWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cobán ImperialLWLWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MunicipalCobán Imperial
56.7Attack47.1
71.7Defence51.0
60.0Form44.1
62.6Power49.0
1.85xG0.70
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