Municipal Salamancavs
Provincial Ovalle
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 3/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal Salamanca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Municipal Salamanca are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Provincial Ovalle are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Salamanca hold a 32.6-point power-rating edge (62.3 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the Segunda División, while Municipal Salamanca holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Municipal Salamanca
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
Municipal Salamanca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40