GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB I · 7/27/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MTK Budapest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

MTK Budapest are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Zalaegerszegi TE are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and MTK Budapest hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 30.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the NB I, while MTK Budapest holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MTK Budapest

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

MTK Budapest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MTK BudapestDWLLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Zalaegerszegi TEWWDWL

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MTK BudapestZalaegerszegi TE
88.9Attack55.6
33.3Defence0.0
44.4Form33.3
54.9Power30.4
2.59xG1.54
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