GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MTK Budapest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

MTK Budapest are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vasas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasas hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while MTK Budapest holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MTK Budapest

Probability

35.0%

Model confidence

35.0%

MTK Budapest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MTK BudapestWDDDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
VasasWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MTK BudapestVasas
59.5Attack61.5
52.4Defence56.4
52.4Form61.5
56.0Power60.6
1.69xG1.68
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