MTK Budapestvs
Ajka
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 1/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MTK Budapest · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
MTK Budapest are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Ajka are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and MTK Budapest hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while MTK Budapest holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MTK Budapest
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
MTK Budapest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20