GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · 7/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Newcastle Jets II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Mt Druitt Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Newcastle Jets II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Newcastle Jets II hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (34.8 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the New South Wales NPL 2, while Newcastle Jets II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Newcastle Jets II

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Newcastle Jets II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mt Druitt TownLWLLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Newcastle Jets IIDLLLL

GF 10 · GA 18 · avg 2.00/3.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mt Druitt TownNewcastle Jets II
39.3Attack59.5
32.1Defence27.4
25.0Form33.3
34.8Power41.8
1.83xG2.30
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